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This will not be a short war, but even if it did end soon, the damage to global oil supply flow is already done. At least 25% of global oil supply flows through the Straits of Hormuz, much of which goes to Asia. Many Asian countries are now on the verge of running out entirely. Australia and New Zealand will be badly affected, since they have little (Australia) or no ( New Zealand) capacity for refining. New Zealand gets its fuel from other Asian countries, meaning indirectly theough the Straits of Hirmuz, but that leaves us completely exposed. Those Asian countries are not going to export their own supplies in order to postpone our problems, and postpone for a short time is all they could do in any case.

The Strait was blocked, not by Iran, but initially by the insurance industry, which refused to insure cargos in a war zone. Now Iran has said it will allow some shipping to pass, but only if not involved in any way in the attack on them. In addition, payment would need to be in Chinese yuan. This could destroy the petrodollar system that has sustained the American empire for so long. Iran is perfectly capable of destroying any ship that doesn’t follow its rules with missiles, drones, armed small ships, submarines, mines, and manouverable torpedos. The Straits will stay closed for as long as Iran wants them to.

Storage in the Gulf is full, meaning that production must shut down, and once shut down, production cannot quickly resume. This means that even if the war ended, shortages in downstream countries would remain acute for a long time. People respond to scarcity by increasing demand, because they’re trying to hold on to emergency supplies. This rise in demand comes as supply is shrinking, and the response is a major price spike. Rationing system is being proposed to limit this, but one can only ration something that’s still available at some level. Confiscations of personal fuel supplies could be institued as an anti-hiarding measure. Dependent countries could find themselves with little to no fuel at all, and then in a state of chaos. A severe economic depression would result, especially since the financial system is in trouble already. A large scale ponzi scheme seems poised to unwind. Look after each other. Times are about to get difficult.

Wherever there is conflict, bankers will be behind it. All wars are bankers’ wars. This historical summary about how the Middle East was carved up along lines conductive to bankers’ interests is accurate. The decisions made by those men have set the stage for erruptions of ethnic violence over a century of conflict. The current highly destructive war is a direct consequence.

It won’t be a short war. Iran has been preparing for decades, and is far more powerful than western leaders would have you believe. It is also far less repressive than propaganda suggests. Iran is not stuck in 1979. Today it’s a modern theocratic state. It does not slaughter protestors. The recent protests began after the US deliberately crashed the value of their currency, and then foolishly bragged about it. Those peaceful protests were then infiltrated by Mossad/CIA/MI6, with instructions to initiate extreme violence and destroy infrastructure. Those violent protests were suppressed by the government, aided by their ability to jam Starlink and trace those using the network to coordinate attacks. The government did NOT kill 30,000 protestors.

This war is also being fought for the interests of the wealthy, and the maintenance of a failing empire. The empire is overconfident, and despite overwhelming force is not going to be able to win this assymmetric war. The force they can bring to bear is antiquated, and cannot counter the weaponry of modern warfare – namely the drones and missiles which Iran has in abundance. American forces cannot defend themselves or their erstwhile allies in the Gulf. Air defence, which was never very effective, has now been depleted. Iran will now launch its more sophisticated weaponry.

in the meantime, the rest of the world is about to suffer a major energy crisis, and also critical shortages of other goods, most notably fertiliser. Even if the war ended tomorrow, it would take at least months to retore the flow of resources. A global economic depression is inevitable. The fact that the global financial ponzi system was already at the end of a major debt cycle, and economic pain is guaranteed, along with real physical shortages.

Here’s another valuable historical perspective, presented by a Rabbi from Montreal. He’s discussing the difference between Judaism and zionism, and the historical development of zionism. Judaism is a religion, while zionism is an ideology with roots in Judaism, Christianity, and secular socialism. Zionism isessentially an Eastern European import to the levant, with little or no connection to the region. Many religious Jews vehemently oppose the state of Israel, because they do not see themselves in an ideology or as an ethnicity. They regard zionism as heresy. This is the kind of distinction that people absolutely need to understand in order to make sense of the current situation. Anti-Semitism is wrong, but anti-zionism is not. Some of the loudest voices opposing it are Jewish themselves.

There are far more Christian zionists in the US, than there are Jews in the whole world. There are also many secular or atheistic zionists. Opposing zionism, which is an expansionist ideology laying claim to territory currently occupied by many tens of millions of Arabs, is z perfectly reasonable position to take. It is not anti-Semitic. Greater Israel is intended to occupy all of Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, and parts of Iraq, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia. The level of violence required would be insane.

Debt is secured by collateral, but in a financial system unmoored from discipline, which has been the case for decades, debt creation has ballooned, with the same collateral often being pledged multiple times to back multiple loans. In the City of London, it’s legal to infinitely rehypothecate your collateral, meaning to back an infinite number of loans with it. So long as the loans don’t go bad, requiring the handover of the collateral, the system continues blithly unaware of the systemic risk. But loans can go bad all at once and very quickly when confidence is lost. The current financial risk awakening is beginning to reveal a huge shortage of collateral, beginning in the unregulated private credit market. This is a game of musical chairs, with less than one chair per person ‘playing the game’. The music is stopping. Either the great collateral grab begins now, or the system finds a way to expand collateral through tokenisation of assets, making illiquid assets liquid so they can serve the debt ponzi. This could kick the can down the road a little longer if they succeed, although at massive cost to ordinary people who will be asset stripped. It’s critical to understand what’s happening in the financial system in order to have a chance to avoid this outcome.

I wonder how friendly that territory would be after being massively bombed in a way that will contiminate a wide area for a very long time. Can you imagine being the construction workers who would have to turn a bombed out and radioactively contaminated area into a functional canal? Israel has wanted to build the Ben Gurion canal through Gaza for a very long time, but I doubt they would want it to be done with nuclear weapons.

https://andrawatkins.substack.com/p/you-want-a-divorce-because-of-that

Andra Watkins was raised as a Christian fundamentalist. Here she explains the Christian nationalist agenda, as contained in Project 2025, and being pushed rapidly by the current American regime. Women are being progressively deprived of the right to vote, beginning with the SAVE Act. The ultimate goal is to repeal the 19th amendment, which gave women the right to vote, in favour of a family vote cast by the husband. The SAVE act pretends to be about protecting elections by ensuring that only citizens can vote. It is already the case that only citizens can vote, and plenty if research exists to prove that voter fraud is not a valid concern. Nevertheless, this legislation will impose extremely strict identification measures, and these will affect married women and anyone else whose name no longer matches that on their birth certificate.

The only ID that will be considered truly acceptable is a passport, but only a minority of Americans have one, and they aren’t free. This amounts to a poll tax. Poorer people will not be able to afford one, and so will not be able to vote. Both women and poorer people tend to vote Democratic, so this is a major voter suppression bill, targeting selectively. Trump has also demanded state voter rolls, so those likely to vote ahpgainst him can be selectively removed from the register without their knowledge. If they don’t or can’t reregister in time, they will not be able to vote at all.

The current regime would lose a free and fair election in a landslide, leaving both houses of Congress in Democratic hands. For this reason they cannot allow a free and fair election, or the result would be impeachment and conviction of many current cabinet members, as well as the president. On top of voter suppression, they plan to have ICE agents overseeing polling places, and ICE agents are allowed to racially profile citizens, demanding proof of citizenship on the spot, and often deliberately failing to recognise it when presented. They may end up dragging people away from voting lines and holding them until the election is over. The current regime, especially the president, is racist to the core. He specifically favours only white immigration, while complaining that non-white immigrants have ‘poor genes’ and are ‘polluting the gene pool’. Trump is already talking about removing Muslims from society. He might treat them like the Japanese-American citizens were treated during WW2, with internment. These are overtly racist and eugenicist positions grounded in ignorance.

Fascism is never gentle. It considers compromise, empathy and legal constraints on violence to be weaknesses to be expunged from society. The weak are to be despised, and kicked when they’re down if possible. Women, minorities, and anyone with a liberal mindset are to be abused, while extreme violence in the service of empire is unleashed on the world. The empire will not respect sovereignty of any kind, either national sovereignty or sovereignty over one’s own body. What it wants it will take if it can, with no consideration for the human cost. This is already happening in the Middle East, which should rightly be called West Asia. Hundreds of thousands of people have already been killed, and this is only the beginning. Billions of people’s health has already been compromised by toxic food, toxic medications, toxic pesticides, and toxic shots. Few people can avoid the impacts. Protect bodily integrity at all costs if you possibly can. Protect national sovereignty collectively if you possibly can. It won’t easy, but nothing truly worth doing ever is.

This is critical information about the coming financial reset, specifically regarding tokenisation of all assets, financial and otherwise. At the WEF summit in Davos, it was clearly stated that it was essential for the powers that be to know where all the money was, and that people’s ability to spend must be deliberately curtailed through taxation. They don’t mean a moderate increase in taxation, they mean taxing people down to virtually a subsistence level of existence.

Europe is introducing taxation of unrealised gains. This means that if your house increases in value, you will get a tax bill for the increase even though you haven’t sold your house. If you can’t pay the tax bill, you’ll be forced to sell your home to cover it. In the meantime your property taxes (rates) will be skyrocketing and so will the cost of insurance, on top of the costs of essentials like food. The food supply will be reduced by the lack of fertiliser, since some 35% of the world’s fertiliser is blocked in the Straits of Hormuz, just as planting season begins in the Northern Hemisphere. Farmers cannot afford to plant as prices have gone through the roof. This will force up food prices dramatically. They mean to end private homeownership, and ownership of other assets, by forcing to be liquidated in a firesale.

Tokenisation is the consolidation of all asset ownership on a single centralised ledger. The point of this, apart from central oversight of all assets ownsership, is to make illiquid assets liquid, so they can be used as collateral in a financial system starved of collateral. Transactions would be instant. You could be taxed a portion of your home, or other asset, as fractional ownership becomes possible. You could be fined a portion of your home if you upset the government with your opinions, and there would be no appeal. Of course this adds to the likelihood that holding assets will not be possible for ordinary people.

This is to be combined with programmable digital currency, with cash withdrawn as an option. This means that the entirety of your (now very limited) finances would be known to the powers that be, and they would have the power to tell you what you could spend your money on, and where you could spend it. This, along with the skyrocketing price of fuel, is meant to severely curtail your mobility. It’s a rationing system by another name, but it’s only meant to apply to ordinary people. The Epstein class is exempting themselves, as they intend to continue living the high life at our expense. Their policies are going to kill small businesses, by design, as they intend to crush independence, forcing the population on to digital Univeral Basic Income (UBI), making people utterly dependent on government. UBI will have rules including a maximum amount that one can save, menzing that ordinary people would never beable to accumulate significant purchasing power. They intend that we should live roughly the life of an 18th century peasant.

It’s essential that people try to avoid the trap that this represents. It begins with digital ID. That is the entry to the trap, and it must be avoided if at all possible. If they cannot get everyone on to digital ID, their plans will fail. In my opinion, they will fail eventually anyway, because their plans vor vastly increasing system complexity are dependent on energy supply, which has peaked globally and is now being drastically curtailed by the war in the Gulf. People need to try to remain independent for long enough for the Epstein class to fail. Use cash wherever possible. Avoid digital ID. Get out of debt as a priority. Help each other so as to reduce the need for an exchange of money. Try time banking. Establish local currencies. Find ways to exist outside of the system. Lower your expectations of material prosperity drastically so as to adapt in advance to the Greater Depression conditions that are coming. If you can, hold purchasing power outside of the system. This would be primarily metals, but bitcoin may have a temporary role to play, especially if moving purchasing power across international borders. Beware of metals confiscation, as this is extremely likely to occur, as it did during the Great Depression of the 1930s. Don’t count on receiving the pension you paid into. It won’t be coming, and their policies will be deliberately reducing lifespans in order to limit obligations to older citizens.

I will be covering all of this here. This is the most important tipping point in human history.

Welcome to Applied Systems Thinking. Crisis is upon us globally. I’ll be integrating geopolitics, finance, energy, health, psychology, resource availability (especially food), and the plans of the elites to corner the market on everything that matters. If you’d like to support my work, you can buy me a coffee at the link below:

Nicole Foss

I’m a systems analyst, always looking to expand my big picture. I’ve been doing this for forty years, integrating as many subsystems of reality as possible.

The wealth and power that has been achieved by the Epstein class of international billionaires is unprecedented. Now they’re stepping out from behind the curtain to use it, to the detriment of the rest of humanity. They believe they’re almost a different species than the rest of us, and they consider us as somewhere between livestock and pond scum, depending on how useful to them each one of us can be. I believe they will ultimately fail to establish the control grid they’ve been working on, but they’ve already caused tremendous damage, and that will continue for a while yet. Some of what they’ve done cannot be reversed, and some of the rest can be, but not quickly, so a new normal is emerging. Maximal independence from centralised systems will be incredibly important. Of course the ability to do this varies greatly between people, but if everyone does what they can they will be protecting themselves as much as possible. Hopefully people will also protect each other.

Humanity needs to adapt quickly in order to make further detrimental changes more difficult. We need to outlast their ability to maintain or increase control, and that will take more than just a few people. It’s essential to stop believing all politicians and all legacy media for a start. They’ve all been comprehensively lying to you about everything important. All political tribes have been co-opted, so voting in a different group will not help. We need to address our predicament ourselves, from the bottom up. Keeping an open mind will be essential. Some of what you see here may challenge deeply held beliefs, but please allow those beliefs to be challenged. Tribalism is toxic. They want us driven into our respective corners, with no overlap of worldview, so as to divide us as much as possible. A house divided cannot stand. We need to work together across tribal lines in order to address what’s being done to us by those who seek to enslave us, or worse.

Much is happening that most people have yet to understand. Much of it is very confronting, but not dealing with it is not an option, because the changes will happen anyway, whether you believe they will or not. Your choice is to between being as informed as possible, trying to find a way forward that works for you, your family, and your community, or to submit to the malign authority that’s rapidly developing. I guarantee that the second option would be one you would not like. This is no time to be passive. We are the ones we’ve been waiting for.